Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.496820e-05 3.003433e-05 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066
2025-04-27 1.836184e-05 2.473822e-05 0.000032 0.000041 0.000053 0.000065 0.000081
2025-05-04 1.458171e-05 2.169388e-05 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000074 0.000096
2025-05-11 1.280539e-05 2.069142e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000064 0.000086 0.000115
2025-05-18 1.086226e-05 1.906308e-05 0.000030 0.000047 0.000068 0.000095 0.000131
2025-05-25 8.027049e-06 1.562940e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000067 0.000096 0.000137
2025-06-01 6.138789e-06 1.324610e-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000066 0.000099 0.000144
2025-06-08 5.004236e-06 1.185839e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000068 0.000104 0.000155
2025-06-15 4.019103e-06 1.052079e-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000069 0.000108 0.000164
2025-06-22 3.044139e-06 8.967408e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000069 0.000110 0.000171
2025-06-29 2.199673e-06 7.438885e-06 0.000018 0.000037 0.000067 0.000111 0.000175
2025-07-06 1.521198e-06 6.044822e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000065 0.000110 0.000177
2025-07-13 9.835042e-07 4.883826e-06 0.000014 0.000033 0.000065 0.000114 0.000188
2025-07-20 6.540233e-07 4.099708e-06 0.000013 0.000032 0.000067 0.000120 0.000202
2025-07-27 4.651968e-07 3.635925e-06 0.000013 0.000033 0.000070 0.000128 0.000220
2025-08-03 3.971124e-07 3.595640e-06 0.000013 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000246
2025-08-10 2.924977e-07 3.297401e-06 0.000013 0.000037 0.000081 0.000153 0.000268
2025-08-17 1.355030e-07 2.460694e-06 0.000011 0.000034 0.000079 0.000153 0.000273
2025-08-24 6.100000e-08 1.910556e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000078 0.000155 0.000283
2025-08-31 3.021878e-08 1.610372e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000080 0.000162 0.000298
2025-09-07 1.199345e-08 1.323803e-06 0.000009 0.000032 0.000081 0.000167 0.000312
2025-09-14 2.423712e-09 1.001927e-06 0.000008 0.000030 0.000080 0.000169 0.000321
2025-09-21 7.909798e-11 7.099507e-07 0.000007 0.000028 0.000078 0.000169 0.000326